Cole Payton

QB · North Dakota State Bison · 2026 NFL Draft Prospect

Model Rank
142
Model Grade
78.04
Round Range
Round 4-5
PFF Grade
95.8
Trait Score
93.83
RAS Score
-
Top Driver: TRAIT (-2.69) Risk Watch: medical/character item noted

Report Summary

Cole Payton (QB, North Dakota State) carries a 78.04 model grade with a current Round 4-5 projection. Current board slot: 142. Primary NFL pathway: Franchise or high-end distributor in spread timing. developmental contributor profile; wins with timing and structure while retaining off-script creation. Seed rank 35 indicates current market confidence with developmental upside still available. How to read this card: 'How He Wins' describes repeatable film traits; 'Primary Concerns' lists failure points that can delay NFL translation.

How He Wins

- Usage fit: Franchise or high-end distributor within spread timing. - Film translation comes from timing/processing: ID leverage pre-snap, hold structure from the pocket, and create only when structure breaks. - Model + film note: developmental contributor profile; wins with timing and structure while retaining off-script creation. Seed rank 35 indicates current market confidence with developmental upside. - Scout-logged strength indicators: >.

Primary Concerns

- QB projection risk is driven by anticipation timing, pressure response, and turnover discipline. - Role stress test: value is strongest in franchise or high-end distributor; projection gets thinner if usage expands too far outside that lane early. - Scouting concern to verify: >. - Missing ESPN QBR context increases uncertainty in down-to-down efficiency under pressure. - Missing EPA/play context limits separation of explosive production versus sustainable drive efficiency.

2025 Production Snapshot

PFF grade 95.8 Stat context: passing yards 2,719; pass TD-INT 16-4; completions/attempts 162/225; 777 rush yds, 13 rush TD; CFB quality mixed (0.82)

Role / Scheme Projection

Best early team fit: LV. Scheme path: spread timing. Expected early deployment: Franchise or high-end distributor. For film-heavy evaluation: this role asks for rhythm passing on early downs, controlled aggression on explosives, and situational command on third down/two-minute.
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